The Impact of the Prohibition of Waste Trade on Reducing Environmental Pollution

Lei Zhao

Ekoloji, 2019, Issue 108, Pages: 979-984


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There is a mutual promotion between ecological security and international trade, as well as frequent friction. Aiming at the problem that the traditional model has poor application effect, a VECM-based impact model of the prohibition of waste trade on reducing environmental pollution is designed. With VAR vector autoregressive model, each endogenous variable of the system is set as a function of the hysteresis of all endogenous variables in the system. Then, the ADF test is used to test the stability of the variables, and the EG cointegration test is used to perform the cointegration test to construct the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Finally, using the Granger Causality Test, the causal relationship between the prohibition of rubbish trade and the reduction of environmental pollution was analyzed. The experimental results show that there is a long-term causal relationship between prohibiting long-term garbage trade and reducing environmental pollution, which verifies the effectiveness of the designed model.


prohibition of waste trade, reducing environmental pollution, VECM, VAR Vector autoregressive model, Granger causality test


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